SW Oregon Architect Emeritus
Essays on place, perception, and the built environment
Sunday, August 23, 2026
Echoes in Eugene
Sunday, August 16, 2026
The Butsudan
Sunday, August 9, 2026
Stuff I Stumbled Upon
My interests have always been catholic, and I tend to be ADD to boot. This explains the wide-ranging links below; on any given day, I will flit between seemingly random subjects. All that connects these is my wandering curiosity. I’ve hyperlinked the headings, which will open the corresponding website in a separate tab:
If you’ve been a reader of my blog, you probably know I’m fascinated by the implications of artificial intelligence for the architectural profession. I came across this video on the Design Intent YouTube channel, produced by Ryan, an architect who works primarily in the commercial project sector. Like me, he’s inquisitive about AI. Among other things, his channel documents his creative experimentation with 3D modeling and visualizations; in this instance, he lets an AI LLM (Google Gemini) take control over the design of his next house. What he got wasn’t anything he expected.
I must also give credit to Mrs. Random for turning me on to Anthropeum, an online daily geography‑and‑chronology guessing game built around artifacts from The Metropolitan Museum of Art’s open‑access collection. The way Anthropeum works is that it shows you several pieces of art from the Met, and you must guess approximately where in the world and when it was created. It’s addicting, and my wife and I are now hooked. That doesn’t mean we’re good at it; it’s humbling to encounter the limits of our knowledge every day. Give it a try yourself.
I’m trying to focus more on my health to help forestall age-related ailments. Unfortunately, my latest lipid panel blood tests show my cholesterol and triglyceride numbers are heading in the wrong direction. Consequently, I’ve become more attentive than ever to the latest developments associated with screening and risk assessment for cardiovascular disease. The web page linked in the header above reports on the latest update to the cholesterol‑management guidelines from the American College of Cardiology and the American Heart Association. The updates emphasize earlier screening and more personalized risk assessment for cardiovascular disease (using the PREVENT risk calculator for 10‑ and 30‑year outcomes). They also recommend childhood screening for familial hypercholesterolemia and one‑time Lp(a) testing. The updates outline new LDL‑C targets and treatment options, including statins and newer lipid‑lowering therapies.
I have a limited understanding of Georgism, the economic ideology formed by 19th-century economist Henry George. For those, like me, who are not wholly familiar with its principles, the YouTube video linked in the header provides a six-minute-long primer. I wanted to learn more about Georgism because some suggest that it can help address housing affordability, primarily through land value taxes. Apparently, such a tax reduces the incentive to sit on unused parcels, makes speculation less profitable, and supports denser, more walkable urban forms. Georgism doesn’t solve zoning, permitting delays, construction costs, or NIMBY politics, but it does attack the speculative layer that inflates land prices. Here in Eugene, a land value tax would likely push more land into productive use and reduce the “empty lot premium” that has driven prices upward. Many people mislabel Georgism as a form of socialism, but it is fundamentally market-oriented and compatible with capitalism. The accusation persists because of sloppy political rhetoric, not because the theory resembles socialism in any meaningful way.
Sunday, August 2, 2026
The Arithmetic of Downtown Housing
When the City and its partners outlined the project
in 2021, they estimated a total cost of about $30 million. The expectation then
was that the city's contribution (primarily urban renewal funding) would total
about $1.1 million, roughly four percent of the cost.
Fast forward to this year: the budgeted project cost
is now $38.7 million, and the required public contribution increased to $10.5
million, more than 27 percent of the total. The design's scope barely changed; what changed was the math. Construction cost inflation, higher interest rates,
financing risk, and prevailing wage requirements all contributed to the shift.
None of these factors is unique to Eugene. What is distinctive is the local
market in which they operate. New housing can command only the rents and sale
prices local households can afford. When the costs of development rise faster than the
value the completed project can generate, the gap between investment and return steadily
widens.
Public debate has focused largely on the City's Multi-Unit Property Tax Exemption (MUPTE). It is important to understand what the
program does. MUPTE does not eliminate property taxes; instead, it
exempts for up to ten years only the taxes on new residential construction, while the underlying
land remains taxable. Rather than surrendering existing tax revenue, the
program temporarily exempts value that would not exist unless the building were
constructed. Nor is the exemption automatic. Projects must satisfy the city's
Public Benefit Criteria, which include above-code energy performance,
moderate-income housing contributions, compatible urban design, and a local
economic impact plan. City staff reviews every application, as does an
independent panel with neighborhood representatives, developers, and design
professionals. The program exchanges a temporary tax benefit for measurable
public benefits.
Even with MUPTE, the 1055 Willamette project still
needed a one-dollar land sale, millions in urban renewal funding, multiple
rounds of financial restructuring, a City Council extension of deadlines while
the developers assembled additional financing, and, ultimately, a return trip
for further assistance before the remaining gap could be closed—a sequence
that, on its own, might read as a story about one stubborn incentive program
rather than about the market underneath it. The Lookout Eugene-Springfield
editorial board recently asked a more pointed question: if one
133-unit building required nearly $9 million more public assistance than
anticipated, what does that imply for the rest of the downtown housing
pipeline? The Downtown Riverfront affordable housing project, a planned 75-unit
community by Atkins Dame and Homes for Good, ran into the same wall earlier this
year, requiring additional urban renewal funding after rising costs reopened
its financing gap. Projects that once appeared feasible are no longer penciling
out without additional assistance.
Today's discussions differ from those contested over
Capstone Communities, the out-of-state developer that proposed 1,234 student beds downtown in 2012. That dispute was mostly about scale rather than subsidy, and about whether one project should reshape so much of downtown at once, not to mention unease that most of the profit would flow to a Birmingham, Alabama, company. Some
version of that unease persists. It's easy to read the widening subsidy figures
for 1055 Willamette the same way, as evidence that developers are extracting
value from a weak market.
I don't think the numbers support that reading. A developer angling for a subsidy does not spend years assembling financing, absorb round after round of cost escalation, and return twice for more assistance before breaking ground. Nor does one sit on a fully entitled, fully incentivized project for the better part of a year, as appears to be happening at The Station House, if incentives alone were the point. MUPTE's public benefit requirements cut against the extraction story too. A developer either meets them or gets nothing. Whatever any developer's motives, the risk runs in both directions, and lately the private side hasn't been walking away with an easy win.
The pressing question is whether existing incentive
programs can bridge a financing gap now substantially larger than they were
designed to address. My impression is that the City instituted MUPTE to close
modest gaps between development costs and market feasibility, like the four
percent delta 1055 Willamette originally faced. It wasn't intended to
compensate for a market in which production costs have pulled far ahead of the
value finished housing can support. As that disparity grows, incentives become
less capable of closing the gap. As a result, projects are requiring direct public
investment just to reach the starting line.
Abandoning incentives is not the answer. There's no
evidence suggesting downtown housing will appear on its own once assistance
disappears. The more likely outcome is that vacant buildings remain vacant
while everyone waits for conditions to improve. And I don't think MUPTE is the
central issue. The program has become the focus largely because "tax exemption" sounds like a giveaway.
The structural mismatch behind it is less visible, but far more consequential.
If development costs continue to rise faster than Eugene's market can support,
every downtown housing project will face essentially the same problem, and
most won't clear it without help. No incentive program, by itself,
can erase that reality.
None of this settles what, if anything, the city can
do about the underlying arithmetic itself—whether through system development
charges, permitting timelines, zoning capacity, or something else entirely.
That's a harder question than whether any single incentive is fair, and it
deserves its own accounting.
For now, I'm happy to hear that 1055 Willamette is
moving forward. After standing empty for more than a decade, the old LCC
Downtown Center is finally about to become something else. I hope the projects
that follow will do the same. Whether they can will depend less on any single
incentive than on whether that gap begins to narrow.
Sunday, July 26, 2026
The Duty to Observe, Revisited
One aspect of professional practice I miss in retirement is the
architect’s obligation to conduct periodic site observations of projects in
construction. Watching a building take shape that I had a hand in designing was
always immensely rewarding. In this post, I'll consider what happens to that
obligation now that AI tools capable of near-continuous site observation exist.
Neither AIA Document A201-2017 nor Oregon Administrative Rule 806-010-0050 says
a word about artificial intelligence, which is understandable; neither document
has been substantially rewritten lately. I suspect the "periodic"
standard was always a practical accommodation to what a human being could
manage, rather than a considered position about what is ideal.
I wrote a piece three years ago about OpenSpace AI, another on the architect’s standard of care, and a third, more speculative post on AI’s broader impact on the profession. I believed OpenSpace is a game-changer because it let me follow a project’s progress from anywhere while virtually touring it as if I were physically present. In today's world, where accountability is paramount, I said that OpenSpace offered a superior solution for documentation of construction progress.
A201-2017 draws a deliberate line between the architect's
responsibility for "periodic" presence on the jobsite and the
"exhaustive or continuous" inspection it explicitly disclaims, and
between "observing" the work and "inspecting" it. Oregon's
rule sets a parallel standard: observation on "a periodic
basis as is necessary," without the same explicit contrast, but pointing
in the same direction.
We tend to talk about “observe versus inspect” as if it were
a principled distinction about the architect's proper role. Design intent
belongs to the architect, while means and methods belong to the contractor, and
so on. This allocation of risk is real and defensible. But underneath all this lies
a basic fact: the standard assumed a person could reasonably meet it by driving
to the site with a notepad and a camera, at intervals consistent with the project’s
scope and complexity. It never claimed to be ideal. It simply reflected what
was possible. What AI is capable of is bringing this into question.
With apps like OpenSpace AI, continuous, computer‑vision‑assisted
site observation has moved from novelty to a maturing product category. Buildots,
a competing example with a growing market share, works much the same way. A
worker walks the site regularly wearing a 360‑degree hard‑hat camera; the app
processes the imagery, matches it to the design team’s BIM model and the
schedule, and generates reports, trade by trade and element by
element, documenting what is built against what was supposed to be. It flags
deviations, forecasts delays, and produces documentation that once required
many hours of a superintendent’s time. Several large and sophisticated
builders, such as Fortis Construction (OpenSpace AI), and Turner
Construction and JE Dunn (Buildots), already deploy these tools. These
contractors have normalized continuous observation for their own risk posture.
In one of its case studies, Buildots reports helping a Danish contractor avoid a potential six-week delay and daily fines of 0.1% of contract value on an 86,000 SF office building project. The company quotes the project's director on the part that matters here: claims are usually a mess of poor documentation, but with continuous data in hand, "we have real numbers and historical data to oppose or validate those claims.”
I cite this case study because it shows what problems this
technology was built to solve, and for whom. It wasn’t built for design
intent, and not for the architect’s interpretive judgment, but to help address
disputes, delay, and claims exposure for the parties who bear that exposure
most directly. The physical limitation that once calibrated the “periodic, not
continuous” standard no longer constrains anyone. Instead, the issue has become
one of cost and adoption, which raises a different kind of question, one the
legal system has dealt with before.
In a 1932 ruling, Judge Learned Hand decided a case every first‑year law
student becomes familiar with. It involved two tugboats, a storm, and the loss of coal
barges. The tugboat owner hadn’t equipped his boats with radio receivers, which
by then were cheap, dependable, and reasonably common, though not yet
universal, and so missed a storm warning that would have compelled him to seek shelter.
He argued that since most tugboats in the area didn’t carry radios either, he’d
met the industry standard. Judge Hand disagreed, in language pertinent to this blog post: “A whole calling may have unduly lagged in the adoption of new and
available devices . . . Courts must in the end say what is required.” Industry
custom, in other words, offers evidence of due care. It does not define it. A
whole profession can fall behind, and a court can say so.
I raise this legal precedent not because I think a court is
about to hold that architects must deploy or rely on OpenSpace AI, Buildots,
or their technological cousins. I raise it because the logic transfers
uncomfortably well. If continuous, affordable observation exists, and the
contractor down the hall already runs it for their own reasons, “I visited
during framing, per my professional judgment” will sound less convincing in a
deposition five years from now than it does today. The baseline everyone is
measured against is shifting in ways architects do not control.
The architectural profession's response to this shouldn’t be dread. The
architect’s standard of care and contractual language deliberately allocate
risk. The contractor controls means and methods because the contractor builds
the project; as the architect, I controlled design intent because that’s the
professional judgment I was licensed to exercise. Having a capability doesn't
create an obligation to use it in some new, more exposed way. A full-time
project representative doesn't change that either. More eyes on the job would
not have relieved me of exercising, and standing behind, my professional
judgment.
The American Institute of Architects released a Position Statement on Artificial Intelligence this past January, and a more
substantive nine‑point Guidance for the Responsible Use of AI by Architecture and Design Firms last
October. Both documents are genuinely current and thoughtful. They affirm that
professional judgment is non‑negotiable. But professional judgment is not the
same as professional procedure, and this is where a gap now grows. For
you architects out there, I recommend reading both the position statement and
the guidance document.
What the AIA hasn’t done yet is address the architect’s site
visitation obligations in light of rapidly advancing AI technology. Their table
of “emerging AI use opportunities” covers design, visualization, business
operations, and research. Under project delivery, they offer nothing more
specific than “task automation” and “documentation.” They offer even less
regarding construction contract administration, observation duty, and the
architect’s standard of care in the field.
Notably, when I looked at how platforms like OpenSpace AI
and Buildots organize themselves, their websites sort their audience by
role into project teams, executives, owners, and construction managers. The
architect doesn’t appear in their taxonomy at all. They built their tools to
solve the contractor’s and owner’s problems, not the architect’s. Consequently,
these rapidly evolving tools do not address the architect’s statutory duty to
observe the work in progress. When the architect is absent from the tools’
mental models, others risk defining the architect’s obligations.
There is an actual opportunity here. It isn't that AI will
make architects better observers, though it might, but that the rule governing
how this technology intersects with our legal obligations is still being
written, largely by people who aren’t architects, for purposes that fall outside the profession's domain. AIA has made a real start, but it hasn’t finished. The gap between the
studio and the jobsite, in the guidance as it stands, is precisely the gap
architects would be wise to fill for themselves before an insurer’s
underwriting requirement or a plaintiff’s expert witness fills it for them. The
moment for architects to articulate what AI‑assisted observation should and
should not mean is now.
I think about the field reports I used to write, the
ones I was taught and later taught others to word carefully: observed, never
inspected, never approved, unless I meant it. I wonder what those
reports would have looked like with the benefit of a continuous, camera‑fed record sitting
alongside them. Almost certainly better, and far harder to argue with. Whether
that makes AI tools a new obligation or simply a better mousetrap is a question the architectural profession will spend the next few years
answering. If I were a young architect today, I would embrace the new
technology before a legal decision tells me I’ve negligently fallen behind the
standard of care.





